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                    Czech industrial production improved in May, but not enough 1594119509          
                                  
                                                          
                    
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          FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith
          FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith
          Report6 July 2020
          Despite many opportunities, risk assets have so far avoided the kind of sharp re-alignment with Main Street that so many…
          By Chris Turner, Petr Krpata, CFAand Francesco Pesole
           
          China Quarterly Update: Technology v bricks and mortar
          Geopolitics and Globalisation 
          China Quarterly Update: Technology v bricks and mortar
          Article30 June 2020
          Lockdowns and social distancing measures are short-term issues for the Chinese economy as a result of the Covid-19…
          By Iris Pang 
           
          Post-Brexit trade deal still possible despite rollercoaster talks
          Geopolitics and Globalisation 
          Post-Brexit trade deal still possible despite rollercoaster talks
          Article3 July 2020
          Despite the latest round of UK-EU talks ending a day early, it's too early to conclude that the chances of a trade…
          By James Smith
           
          RBA preview: Currency comments to drive reaction
          RBA preview: Currency comments to drive reaction
          Article3 July 2020
          From a rates perspective, there is little need for Australia's central bank to do anything on Tuesday. The only cause…
          By Robert Carnelland Francesco Pesole
           
          July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
          July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
          Report2 July 2020
          The reopenings have led to a sharp rebound in activity, but new localised Covid-19 outbreaks have cast a renewed cloud…
          By Carsten Brzeski, Chris Turnerand 9 others
           
              
              Spotify  
            Listen: Brazil’s Covid crisis
          Geopolitics and Globalisation 
          Listen: Brazil’s Covid crisis
          Article3 July 2020
          With 1.4 million coronavirus cases and over 60,000 deaths, Brazil now ranks as the second worst hit country in the world,…
          By Gustavo Rangeland Rebecca Byrne
           
          GBP: The ongoing disappointment
          GBP: The ongoing disappointment
          Article30 June 2020
          EUR/GBP broke through our quarter-end target of 0.91. We see more downside to sterling and expect EUR/GBP to trade above…
          By Petr Krpata, CFA
           
          UK public finances: Not (yet) breaking the bank
          UK public finances: Not (yet) breaking the bank
          Article1 July 2020
          The myriad of risks surrounding the UK economic recovery means that government borrowing is set to remain high both this…
          By James Smithand Antoine Bouvet
           
            
                
            National debt levels – A cautionary tale
          National debt levels – A cautionary tale
          ArticleThe IMF's latest forecasts suggest a deeper contraction for 2020 with growth…
          1594136643
            
                    
            Supply, rates and curve: What to expect in 2H20 and beyond
          Supply, rates and curve: What to expect in 2H20 and beyond
          ArticleWe probably haven't seen the last upward revision to European states deficits,…
          1594129515
            
              
                
            THINK Outside
          VoxEU: Covid and the nature of capitalism
          By VOX EU
          OpinionFor all the harm that it caused, the Covid-19 crisis provided an opening to rethink…
          1594135262
            
                    
            FX Positioning: EUR remains king despite a correction
          FX Positioning: EUR remains king despite a correction
          ArticleIn the week 24-30 June, CFTC positioning for EUR/USD corrected lower by the most in…
          1594124373
            
            
            
              
            
                
            Czech industrial production improved in May, but not enough
          Czech industrial production improved in May, but not enough
          SnapCzech industrial production increased by 13.8% from April, but compared to a year…
          1594119509
              
                
            Are European governments pushing for a green recovery? 
          Are European governments pushing for a green recovery? 
          ArticleSustainability was already a hot-topic pre-Covid-19, but will this trend still…
          1594112837
              
                
                
            
            
          From yesterday to tomorrow
              July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
          July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
          The reopenings have led to a sharp rebound in activity, but new localised Covid-19 outbreaks have cast a renewed cloud…
          By Carsten Brzeski, Chris Turnerand 9 others
          Download PDF
            Geopolitics and Globalisation US: The wrong direction
          ArticleCovid-19 infections and hospitalisations are on the rise in many states, leading to…
            Eurozone: A deceptive ‘V’
          ArticleRecent indicators point to a V-shaped recovery, but that won’t last very…
            China: Covid-19 adds pressure to exports 
          ArticleDomestically-driven growth has been faster than foreign-driven exports and…
            FX markets leave lockdown behind them
          ArticleThis month, we’ve been tasked with looking at the effects of lockdown exits…
            Rates: Warning signs that equities might have it all wrong
          ArticleMost financial instruments are present values of a discounted stream of future…
            Geopolitics and Globalisation US Politics: Troubling times for Mr President
          ArticlePresident Trump is languishing in the polls both nationally and in the swing states…
           
          Taiwan: exports keep falling
          Taiwan: exports keep falling
          SnapTaiwan's exports and imports continue to shrink on a yearly basis despite…
          1594117468
          Hungary: A bittersweet record in industry
          Hungary: A bittersweet record in industry
          SnapAfter an historic collapse, we now have an historic rebound in industry. However,…
          1594118481
          Daily FX: Yuan back to the 7.00 dilemma
          Daily FX: Yuan back to the 7.00 dilemma
          ArticleChinese equities’ extraordinary rally remains in focus as a key driver of…
          1594106765
          Rates Spark: Better safe than sorry
          Rates Spark: Better safe than sorry
          ArticleWe expect investors to reduce risk into next week's ECB meeting but the threat…
          1594102140
            
            
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          National debt levels – A cautionary tale
          National debt levels – A cautionary tale
          US jobs – Don’t believe all the hype
          US jobs – Don’t believe all the hype
          Listen: Recovery, reflation and the market response
          Listen: Recovery, reflation and the market response
          Covid-19 impacts on supply chains
          Covid-19 impacts on supply chains
          WATCH: The effect of coronavirus on spending and saving
          WATCH: The effect of coronavirus on spending and saving
          China is recovering, but it’s still way too slow
          China is recovering, but it’s still way too slow
          Why Europe may finally be getting its act together over Covid-19
          Why Europe may finally be getting its act together over Covid-19
          Prepare for a significant QE increase in the UK 
          Prepare for a significant QE increase in the UK 
          Covid-19, deglobalisation and the cost companies must now consider
          Covid-19, deglobalisation and the cost companies must now consider
          The race to economic recovery
          The race to economic recovery
          Brexit: Are the markets right to be worried… again? 
          Brexit: Are the markets right to be worried… again? 
          Bottom line: We’re not going to get stagflation
          Bottom line: We’re not going to get stagflation
          Now for some good news
          Now for some good news
          Britain, breakout and Brexit
          Britain, breakout and Brexit
          The big change in oil sentiment
          The big change in oil sentiment
          Watch:  Which market is getting it right? 
          Watch:  Which market is getting it right? 
          Europe’s top court hits back at German ECB ruling
          Europe’s top court hits back at German ECB ruling
          Central bank digital currencies and Covid-19
          Central bank digital currencies and Covid-19
          6 ways Covid-19 is transforming digital finance
          6 ways Covid-19 is transforming digital finance
          Europe’s uneven recovery
          Europe’s uneven recovery
           
           
          THINK Outside New and expanding soon
          VoxEU: Covid and the nature of capitalism
                    
          Priorities for the Covid-19 Economy
                    
          Post-Pandemic Economic Leadership Begins in America
                    
          The Main Street Manifesto
              
          Reports 
            
              LATAM FX Talking: Reaching the limit of rate cuts
          LATAM FX Talking: Reaching the limit of rate cuts
          A preoccupation with stability in local financial markets, especially FX, is now driving the monetary policy decisions of…
          By Gustavo Rangel
          Download PDF
            
            
              FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith
          FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith
          Despite many opportunities, risk assets have so far avoided the kind of sharp re-alignment with Main Street that so many…
          By Chris Turner, Petr Krpata, CFAand Francesco Pesole
          Download PDF
            
            
              Asia FX Talking: Balance of risks
          Asia FX Talking: Balance of risks
          The near-term direction for Asian currencies will be dominated by whether Covid-19 angst or recovery optimism prevail.…
          By Robert Carnell, Chris Turnerand 3 others
          Download PDF
            
            
              July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
          July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
          The reopenings have led to a sharp rebound in activity, but new localised Covid-19 outbreaks have cast a renewed cloud…
          By Carsten Brzeski, Chris Turnerand 9 others
          Download PDF
            
              
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          Coronavirus unequally impacts savings 
              
              
              
                                                
              
              
              
              
              
          Football fandom and loss aversion: A paradox
              
              
              
                                    
              
              
            
             
              
                        
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